Falkirk
L
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 2.06 - 0.72
Kilmarnock
L
W
L
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 52.52% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Falkirk Stadium
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Falkirk scored an average of 3.00 goals per match, compared to Kilmarnock 0.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Falkirk scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.17, whereas Kilmarnock scored 0.50 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Falkirk vs Kilmarnock match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.06 for Falkirk and 0.72 for Kilmarnock. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.52%.

H2H - Falkirk vs. Kilmarnock

20-03-2027
Falkirk
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
30-12-2026
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
Falkirk
24-10-2026
Falkirk
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Kilmarnock
28-02-2026
Falkirk
5 - 1
(HT 3-1)
Kilmarnock
20-12-2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Falkirk
01-11-2025
Falkirk
3 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Kilmarnock

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Falkirk

10.10 vs Dundee 1-2
L
17.10 @ Hibernian 1-2
W
24.10 vs Kilmarnock 3-0
W
28.10 @ Aberdeen 0-1
W
01.11 vs Celtic 2-0
W
08.11 @ Heart Of Midlothian 2-5
W

Away Crest Kilmarnock

10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D
08.11 @ Celtic 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.