Kilmarnock
D
L
W
L
L
D
-
(xG) 1.19 - 2.01
Celtic
W
L
W
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 61.99% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Rugby Park
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 0.73 goals per match, compared to Celtic 3.20 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas Celtic scored 1.00 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Kilmarnock vs Celtic match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.19 for Kilmarnock and 2.01 for Celtic. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 61.99%.

H2H - Kilmarnock vs. Celtic

03-04-2027
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
Celtic
08-11-2026
Celtic
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
09-08-2026
Kilmarnock
1 - 5
(HT 0-3)
Celtic
15-02-2026
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
(HT 2-0)
Celtic
09-11-2025
Celtic
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
14-09-2025
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Celtic
12-04-2025
Celtic
5 - 1
(HT 4-1)
Kilmarnock
18-01-2025
Celtic
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock
10-11-2024
Kilmarnock
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Celtic
04-08-2024
Celtic
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Kilmarnock
15-05-2024
Kilmarnock
0 - 5
(HT 0-3)
Celtic
17-02-2024
Celtic
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
10-12-2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Celtic
07-10-2023
Celtic
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Kilmarnock
16-04-2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 4
(HT 1-4)
Celtic
07-01-2023
Celtic
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
14-08-2022
Kilmarnock
0 - 5
(HT 0-3)
Celtic

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Kilmarnock

19.09 vs Heart Of Midlothian 1-1
D
10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D

Away Crest Celtic

18.10 vs Heart Of Midlothian 7-1
W
22.10 vs Celta Vigo 1-2
L
25.10 @ Hibernian 1-2
W
28.10 vs Dundee Utd 2-2
D
01.11 @ Falkirk 2-0
L
05.11 vs Besiktas 3-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.