Motherwell
L
L
L
D
W
D
-
(xG) 1.00 - 1.36
Aberdeen
L
W
L
L
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 58.14% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Motherwell vs Aberdeen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Fir Park
In their previous 19 head-to-head matches, Motherwell scored an average of 1.32 goals per match, compared to Aberdeen 1.58 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Motherwell scored an average of 0.67 and conceded 1.33, whereas Aberdeen scored 1.50 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Motherwell vs Aberdeen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.00 for Motherwell and 1.36 for Aberdeen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 58.14%.

H2H - Motherwell vs. Aberdeen

03-04-2027
Motherwell
-
(HT -)
Aberdeen
30-12-2026
Aberdeen
-
(HT -)
Motherwell
15-09-2026
Motherwell
0 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Aberdeen
18-02-2026
Aberdeen
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Motherwell
15-02-2026
Motherwell
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aberdeen
09-11-2025
Aberdeen
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
27-09-2025
Motherwell
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aberdeen
20-09-2025
Aberdeen
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
29-03-2025
Aberdeen
4 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Motherwell
05-01-2025
Motherwell
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aberdeen
14-09-2024
Aberdeen
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Motherwell
27-04-2024
Aberdeen
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
16-03-2024
Motherwell
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aberdeen
14-02-2024
Aberdeen
3 - 3
(HT 2-3)
Motherwell
01-11-2023
Motherwell
2 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Aberdeen
04-02-2023
Aberdeen
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Motherwell
22-10-2022
Motherwell
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Aberdeen
13-08-2022
Aberdeen
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Motherwell
19-02-2022
Motherwell
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aberdeen
06-11-2021
Aberdeen
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
11-09-2021
Motherwell
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aberdeen

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Motherwell

11.10 vs Celtic 0-2
L
17.10 @ Kilmarnock 3-2
L
25.10 vs Heart Of Midlothian 0-2
L
28.10 @ ST Johnstone 2-2
D
31.10 vs ST Mirren 1-0
W
07.11 @ Dundee Utd 1-1
D

Away Crest Aberdeen

11.10 vs ST Johnstone 0-1
L
17.10 vs ST Mirren 3-1
W
24.10 @ Dundee Utd 3-2
L
28.10 vs Falkirk 0-1
L
31.10 @ Rangers 1-0
L
07.11 vs Hibernian 0-4
L

Motherwell (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Dundee Utd Draw Over 2.5 1 - 1
vs ST Mirren Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 0
@ ST Johnstone Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 2
vs Heart Of Midlothian Away Win Over 2.5 0 - 2
@ Kilmarnock Away Win Over 2.5 3 - 2

Aberdeen (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Hibernian Draw Under 2.5 0 - 4
@ Rangers Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 0
vs Falkirk Draw Under 2.5 0 - 1
@ Dundee Utd Draw Under 2.5 3 - 2
vs ST Mirren Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.