Aberdeen
L
W
L
L
L
L
-
(xG) 1.10 - 0.99
Kilmarnock
L
W
L
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 65.32% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Pittodrie Stadium
In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen scored an average of 1.13 goals per match, compared to Kilmarnock 1.13 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Aberdeen scored an average of 0.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Kilmarnock scored 0.50 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.10 for Aberdeen and 0.99 for Kilmarnock. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 65.32%.

H2H - Aberdeen vs. Kilmarnock

10-04-2027
Aberdeen
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
21-11-2026
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
Aberdeen
12-09-2026
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aberdeen
05-09-2026
Aberdeen
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
25-04-2026
Aberdeen
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
31-01-2026
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aberdeen
14-12-2025
Aberdeen
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
29-10-2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aberdeen
22-02-2025
Aberdeen
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
26-12-2024
Kilmarnock
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aberdeen
25-08-2024
Aberdeen
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
09-03-2024
Aberdeen
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Kilmarnock
24-02-2024
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aberdeen
06-12-2023
Aberdeen
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
29-10-2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aberdeen
08-04-2023
Aberdeen
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
28-12-2022
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Aberdeen
01-10-2022
Aberdeen
4 - 1
(HT 3-1)
Kilmarnock

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Aberdeen

11.10 vs ST Johnstone 0-1
L
17.10 vs ST Mirren 3-1
W
24.10 @ Dundee Utd 3-2
L
28.10 vs Falkirk 0-1
L
31.10 @ Rangers 1-0
L
07.11 vs Hibernian 0-4
L

Away Crest Kilmarnock

10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D
08.11 @ Celtic 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.