Spain La Liga
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
D D L D W L
0 - 0
xG 1.36 - 1.26
Athletic Club
D L W W W D

Mathematical Predictions: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 51.45% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Rayo Vallecano team crest Rayo Vallecano Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Rayo Vallecano
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Real Sociedad 1 O2.5 1-0
31 Oct 26 vs Celta Vigo X U2.5 3-0
24 Oct 26 vs Elche X U2.5 0-3
19 Oct 26 @ Getafe 1 U2.5 1-1
19 Sep 26 @ Osasuna 1 O2.5 1-1

Athletic Club team crest Athletic Club Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Athletic Club
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Osasuna X U2.5 1-1
01 Nov 26 vs Real Sociedad X O2.5 2-1
29 Oct 26 @ Prat 1 O2.5 1-6
25 Oct 26 vs Getafe X U2.5 4-0
21 Oct 26 @ Levante 1 O2.5 3-1

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 2.88
X 3.48
2 2.63
O 2.5 1.97
U 2.5 1.97
Betano
1 2.72
X 3.35
2 2.62
O 2.5 1.95
U 2.5 1.90
Dafabet
1 2.75
X 3.35
2 2.65
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-10-10 10:03:29

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Spain La Liga
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
In their previous 23 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano scored an average of 0.87 goals per match, compared to Athletic Club 1.70 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Rayo Vallecano scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 0.83, whereas Athletic Club scored 1.17 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.36 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.26 for Athletic Club. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.45%.

H2H - Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Club

10 Oct 26
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Athletic Club
28 Feb 26
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Athletic Club
25 Aug 25
Athletic Club
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Rayo Vallecano
13 Apr 25
Athletic Club
3 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Rayo Vallecano
01 Dec 24
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Athletic Club
25 May 24
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Athletic Club
02 Dec 23
Athletic Club
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Rayo Vallecano
05 Mar 23
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Athletic Club

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Rayo Vallecano

10 Oct vs Athletic Club 0-0
D
19 Oct @ Getafe 1-1
D
24 Oct vs Elche 0-3
L
27 Oct @ Recreativo Huelva 1-1
D
31 Oct vs Celta Vigo 3-0
W
08 Nov @ Real Sociedad 1-0
L

Away Crest Athletic Club

17 Oct @ Valencia 0-0
D
21 Oct @ Levante 3-1
L
25 Oct vs Getafe 4-0
W
29 Oct @ Prat 1-6
W
01 Nov vs Real Sociedad 2-1
W
07 Nov @ Osasuna 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.