Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 2.80 - 0.67
Alaves
D
L
L
D
L
D

Mathematical Predictions: Real Madrid vs Alaves

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 67.27% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Real Madrid team crest Real Madrid Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Real Madrid
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Valencia 2 O2.5 0-3
04 Nov 26 @ AEK Athens FC 1 O2.5 2-3
01 Nov 26 @ Racing Santander 2 O2.5 0-3
25 Oct 26 @ Barcelona X O2.5 1-2
21 Oct 26 vs RB Leipzig 1 O2.5 4-1

Alaves team crest Alaves Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Alaves
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Sevilla 1 U2.5 0-0
31 Oct 26 @ Barcelona 1 O2.5 6-1
23 Oct 26 vs Malaga 1 U2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 @ Celta Vigo X U2.5 2-1
10 Oct 26 vs Atletico Madrid X O2.5 1-2

Real Madrid vs Alaves

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Spain La Liga
TBA
In their previous 18 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid scored an average of 2.56 goals per match, compared to Alaves 0.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Real Madrid scored an average of 3.50 and conceded 0.83, whereas Alaves scored 0.67 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Real Madrid vs Alaves match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.80 for Real Madrid and 0.67 for Alaves. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.27%.

H2H - Real Madrid vs. Alaves

28 Nov 26
Real Madrid
-
(HT -)
Alaves
21 Apr 26
Real Madrid
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Alaves
14 Dec 25
Alaves
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Real Madrid
13 Apr 25
Alaves
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Real Madrid
24 Sep 24
Real Madrid
3 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Alaves
14 May 24
Real Madrid
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Alaves
21 Dec 23
Alaves
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Real Madrid
19 Feb 22
Real Madrid
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Alaves

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Real Madrid

18 Oct vs Sevilla 4-1
W
21 Oct vs RB Leipzig 4-1
W
25 Oct @ Barcelona 1-2
W
01 Nov @ Racing Santander 0-3
W
04 Nov @ AEK Athens FC 2-3
W
07 Nov @ Valencia 0-3
W

Away Crest Alaves

19 Sep @ Athletic Club 0-0
D
10 Oct vs Atletico Madrid 1-2
L
18 Oct @ Celta Vigo 2-1
L
23 Oct vs Malaga 1-1
D
31 Oct @ Barcelona 6-1
L
06 Nov @ Sevilla 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.