Barcelona
W
L
L
W
W
W
-
(xG) 3.01 - 1.44
Atletico Madrid
W
D
W
W
L
L

Mathematical Predictions: Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 82.06% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Barcelona team crest Barcelona Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Barcelona
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Atletico Madrid 2 O2.5 1-2
03 Nov 26 vs Aston Villa 1 O2.5 3-0
31 Oct 26 vs Alaves 1 O2.5 6-1
25 Oct 26 vs Real Madrid X O2.5 1-2
20 Oct 26 @ Paris Saint Germain 2 O2.5 4-2

Atletico Madrid team crest Atletico Madrid Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Atletico Madrid
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Barcelona 2 O2.5 1-2
03 Nov 26 vs Bayern München X O2.5 0-2
31 Oct 26 @ Levante X O2.5 0-2
24 Oct 26 vs Deportivo La Coruna 1 O2.5 1-0
20 Oct 26 @ VfB Stuttgart 1 O2.5 1-1

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Spain La Liga
Camp Nou
In their previous 43 head-to-head matches, Barcelona scored an average of 1.70 goals per match, compared to Atletico Madrid 0.98 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Barcelona scored an average of 4.00 and conceded 1.17, whereas Atletico Madrid scored 1.83 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 3.01 for Barcelona and 1.44 for Atletico Madrid. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 82.06%.

H2H - Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid

02 Feb 27
Barcelona
-
(HT -)
Atletico Madrid
02 Dec 26
Barcelona
-
(HT -)
Atletico Madrid
08 Nov 26
Atletico Madrid
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Barcelona
14 Apr 26
Atletico Madrid
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Barcelona
08 Apr 26
Barcelona
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Atletico Madrid
04 Apr 26
Atletico Madrid
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Barcelona
03 Mar 26
Barcelona
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Atletico Madrid
12 Feb 26
Atletico Madrid
4 - 0
(HT 4-0)
Barcelona

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Barcelona

17 Oct @ Real Betis 2-5
W
20 Oct @ Paris Saint Germain 4-2
L
25 Oct vs Real Madrid 1-2
L
31 Oct vs Alaves 6-1
W
03 Nov vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
08 Nov @ Atletico Madrid 1-2
W

Away Crest Atletico Madrid

17 Oct @ Espanyol 0-1
W
20 Oct @ VfB Stuttgart 1-1
D
24 Oct vs Deportivo La Coruna 1-0
W
31 Oct @ Levante 0-2
W
03 Nov vs Bayern Munich 0-2
L
08 Nov vs Barcelona 1-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.