Spain Segunda División
Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga
L D L D L L
VS
xG 1.88 - 1.55
Las Palmas
L L W D W W

Mathematical Predictions: Malaga vs Las Palmas

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 66.58% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Malaga team crest Malaga Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Malaga
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Racing Santander 1 O2.5 1-2
31 Oct 26 @ Real Betis 1 O2.5 2-1
27 Oct 26 @ Alcazar 1 U2.5 0-3
23 Oct 26 @ Alaves 1 U2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 vs Real Sociedad 1 O2.5 2-5

Las Palmas team crest Las Palmas Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Las Palmas
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
09 Nov 26 vs Eldense X U2.5 2-0
02 Nov 26 @ Oviedo X U2.5 2-3
24 Oct 26 vs Real Sociedad II X U2.5 1-0
17 Oct 26 vs Castellón X U2.5 0-3
11 Oct 26 @ Mallorca 1 O2.5 3-1

Malaga vs Las Palmas

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Spain Segunda División
Estadio La Rosaleda
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, Malaga scored an average of 1.31 goals per match, compared to Las Palmas 1.31 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Malaga scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 1.33, whereas Las Palmas scored 1.83 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Malaga vs Las Palmas match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.88 for Malaga and 1.55 for Las Palmas. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 66.58%.

H2H - Malaga vs. Las Palmas

10 Jun 26
Malaga
-
(HT -)
Las Palmas
07 Jun 26
Las Palmas
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Malaga
11 Apr 26
Malaga
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Las Palmas
31 Aug 25
Las Palmas
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Malaga
11 Mar 23
Las Palmas
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Malaga
22 Aug 22
Malaga
0 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Las Palmas
29 Apr 22
Las Palmas
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Malaga
20 Nov 21
Malaga
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Las Palmas

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Malaga

20 Sep @ Getafe 1-0
L
09 Oct vs Espanyol 1-1
D
18 Oct vs Real Sociedad 2-5
L
23 Oct @ Alaves 1-1
D
31 Oct @ Real Betis 2-1
L
07 Nov vs Racing Santander 1-2
L

Away Crest Las Palmas

11 Oct @ Mallorca 3-1
L
17 Oct vs Castellón 0-3
L
24 Oct vs Real Sociedad II 1-0
W
27 Oct @ RSD Alcalá 1-1
D
02 Nov @ Oviedo 2-3
W
09 Nov vs Eldense 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.