Leganes
L
L
L
D
L
L
-
(xG) 0.90 - 1.27
Burgos
L
W
W
W
D
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 63.08% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Prediction Track Records

Leganes team crest Leganes Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Leganes
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under Final Score
07.11.2026 vs Albacete X U2.5 1-3
02.11.2026 @ Valladolid 1 O2.5 4-3
24.10.2026 vs Mallorca X U2.5 1-1
16.10.2026 vs Cordoba X U2.5 0-1
11.10.2026 @ Almeria 1 U2.5 3-0

Burgos team crest Burgos Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Burgos
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under Final Score
07.11.2026 vs Celta de Vigo II 1 U2.5 2-1
01.11.2026 vs Castellón X U2.5 1-1
29.10.2026 @ Laredo 2 U2.5 2-4
26.10.2026 @ FC Andorra X U2.5 2-3
18.10.2026 vs Sabadell X U2.5 1-0

Leganes vs Burgos

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Leganes scored an average of 0.88 goals per match, compared to Burgos 1.13 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Leganes scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.50, whereas Burgos scored 1.33 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Leganes vs Burgos match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.90 for Leganes and 1.27 for Burgos. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.08%.

H2H - Leganes vs. Burgos

13-11-2026
Leganes
-
(HT -)
Burgos
31-01-2026
Burgos
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Leganes
01-11-2025
Leganes
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Burgos
22-01-2024
Leganes
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Burgos
04-10-2023
Burgos
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Leganes
12-05-2023
Burgos
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Leganes
18-09-2022
Leganes
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Burgos
23-01-2022
Burgos
4 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Leganes

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Leganes

03.10 @ Cadiz 4-0
L
11.10 @ Almeria 3-0
L
16.10 vs Cordoba 0-1
L
24.10 vs Mallorca 1-1
D
02.11 @ Valladolid 4-3
L
07.11 vs Albacete 1-3
L

Away Crest Burgos

12.10 vs Granada CF 0-1
L
18.10 vs Sabadell 1-0
W
26.10 @ FC Andorra 2-3
W
29.10 @ Laredo 2-4
W
01.11 vs Castellón 1-1
D
07.11 vs Celta de Vigo II 2-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.