Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 0.46 - 0.36
Atletico Madrid
W
D
W
W
L
L

Mathematical Predictions: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 95.06% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Real Madrid team crest Real Madrid Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Real Madrid
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Valencia 2 O2.5 0-3
04 Nov 26 @ AEK Athens FC 1 O2.5 2-3
01 Nov 26 @ Racing Santander 2 O2.5 0-3
25 Oct 26 @ Barcelona X O2.5 1-2
21 Oct 26 vs RB Leipzig 1 O2.5 4-1

Atletico Madrid team crest Atletico Madrid Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Atletico Madrid
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Barcelona 2 O2.5 1-2
03 Nov 26 vs Bayern München X O2.5 0-2
31 Oct 26 @ Levante X O2.5 0-2
24 Oct 26 vs Deportivo La Coruna 1 O2.5 1-0
20 Oct 26 @ VfB Stuttgart 1 O2.5 1-1

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Spain Super Cup
TBA
In their previous 43 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid scored an average of 1.37 goals per match, compared to Atletico Madrid 1.07 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Real Madrid scored an average of 0.00 and conceded 0.00, whereas Atletico Madrid scored 0.00 and conceded 0.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.46 for Real Madrid and 0.36 for Atletico Madrid. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 95.06%.

H2H - Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid

04 Apr 27
Real Madrid
-
(HT -)
Atletico Madrid
20 Sep 26
Atletico Madrid
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Real Madrid
22 Mar 26
Real Madrid
3 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Atletico Madrid
07 Jan 26
Real Madrid
-
(HT -)
Atletico Madrid
27 Sep 25
Atletico Madrid
5 - 2
(HT 2-2)
Real Madrid
12 Mar 25
Atletico Madrid
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Real Madrid
04 Mar 25
Real Madrid
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Atletico Madrid
08 Feb 25
Real Madrid
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Atletico Madrid

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Real Madrid

18 Oct vs Sevilla 4-1
W
21 Oct vs RB Leipzig 4-1
W
25 Oct @ Barcelona 1-2
W
01 Nov @ Racing Santander 0-3
W
04 Nov @ AEK Athens FC 2-3
W
07 Nov @ Valencia 0-3
W

Away Crest Atletico Madrid

17 Oct @ Espanyol 0-1
W
20 Oct @ VfB Stuttgart 1-1
D
24 Oct vs Deportivo La Coruna 1-0
W
31 Oct @ Levante 0-2
W
03 Nov vs Bayern Munich 0-2
L
08 Nov vs Barcelona 1-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.