Lausanne
L
L
L
L
L
L
0-4
(xG) 1.28 - 1.85
FC Lugano
W
W
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.53% Won
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Won

Lausanne vs FC Lugano

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stade de la Tuiliere
In their previous 19 head-to-head matches, Lausanne scored an average of 1.11 goals per match, compared to FC Lugano 1.37 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Lausanne scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas FC Lugano scored 2.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Lausanne vs FC Lugano match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.28 for Lausanne and 1.85 for FC Lugano. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.53%.

H2H - Lausanne vs. FC Lugano

30-01-2027
FC Lugano
-
(HT -)
Lausanne
20-09-2026
Lausanne
0 - 4
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
22-02-2026
FC Lugano
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Lausanne
07-12-2025
Lausanne
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
17-09-2025
FC Lugano
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Lausanne
18-05-2025
Lausanne
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
FC Lugano
21-04-2025
Lausanne
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
FC Lugano
15-12-2024
FC Lugano
1 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Lausanne
18-09-2024
Lausanne
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
20-04-2024
FC Lugano
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Lausanne
04-11-2023
Lausanne
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
27-09-2023
FC Lugano
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Lausanne
18-04-2022
Lausanne
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
FC Lugano
20-03-2022
FC Lugano
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Lausanne
07-11-2021
Lausanne
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
02-10-2021
FC Lugano
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Lausanne
10-04-2021
FC Lugano
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Lausanne
28-02-2021
Lausanne
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Lugano
23-12-2020
FC Lugano
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Lausanne
07-11-2020
Lausanne
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Lausanne

05.09 @ FC Vaduz 3-1
L
13.09 vs Servette FC 0-1
L
20.09 vs FC Lugano 0-4
L
11.10 @ FC ST. Gallen 1-0
L
25.10 @ FC Sion 1-0
L
01.11 vs FC Thun 4-5
L

Away Crest FC Lugano

10.10 vs FC Luzern 4-0
W
15.10 vs FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2
W
22.10 @ Getafe 2-5
W
25.10 @ FC Thun 2-3
W
01.11 vs FC Basel 1893 2-1
W
05.11 vs Kauno Žalgiris 3-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.