FC Zurich
D
W
D
W
W
W
4-2
(xG) 2.36 - 2.00
FC Thun
L
L
L
L
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 80.94% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

FC Zurich vs FC Thun

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Switzerland Super League
Letzigrund Stadion
In their previous 12 head-to-head matches, FC Zurich scored an average of 2.08 goals per match, compared to FC Thun 1.83 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FC Zurich scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 2.17, whereas FC Thun scored 2.00 and conceded 3.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FC Zurich vs FC Thun match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.36 for FC Zurich and 2.00 for FC Thun. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 80.94%.

H2H - FC Zurich vs. FC Thun

23-01-2027
FC Thun
-
(HT -)
FC Zurich
10-10-2026
FC Zurich
4 - 2
(HT 2-1)
FC Thun
21-03-2026
FC Zurich
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
FC Thun
20-12-2025
FC Thun
4 - 2
(HT 0-2)
FC Zurich
23-08-2025
FC Zurich
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
FC Thun
03-08-2020
FC Zurich
3 - 3
(HT 2-0)
FC Thun
01-07-2020
FC Thun
3 - 2
(HT 3-2)
FC Zurich
02-11-2019
FC Thun
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
FC Zurich
22-09-2019
FC Zurich
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Thun
15-05-2019
FC Zurich
3 - 0
(HT 3-0)
FC Thun
10-03-2019
FC Thun
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
FC Zurich
07-10-2018
FC Thun
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
FC Zurich
22-07-2018
FC Zurich
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
FC Thun

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FC Zurich

05.09 @ Grasshoppers 2-2
D
13.09 vs FC Vaduz 2-1
W
19.09 @ FC Sion 1-1
D
10.10 vs FC Thun 4-2
W
24.10 vs FC Luzern 2-1
W
01.11 @ BSC Young Boys 3-5
W

Away Crest FC Thun

10.10 @ FC Zurich 4-2
L
15.10 @ Twente 1-0
L
22.10 vs HNK Hajduk Split 0-1
L
25.10 vs FC Lugano 2-3
L
01.11 @ Lausanne 4-5
W
05.11 vs Heart Of Midlothian 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.