FC Lugano
W
W
W
W
W
W
4-0
(xG) 2.05 - 1.33
FC Luzern
D
L
W
L
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 65.62% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

FC Lugano vs FC Luzern

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Switzerland Super League
AIL Arena
In their previous 31 head-to-head matches, FC Lugano scored an average of 2.03 goals per match, compared to FC Luzern 1.45 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FC Lugano scored an average of 2.67 and conceded 0.67, whereas FC Luzern scored 1.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FC Lugano vs FC Luzern match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.05 for FC Lugano and 1.33 for FC Luzern. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 65.62%.

H2H - FC Lugano vs. FC Luzern

29-11-2026
FC Luzern
-
(HT -)
FC Lugano
10-10-2026
FC Lugano
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Luzern
07-03-2026
FC Lugano
1 - 3
(HT 0-1)
FC Luzern
17-01-2026
FC Luzern
2 - 5
(HT 1-3)
FC Lugano
30-10-2025
FC Lugano
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Luzern
04-05-2025
FC Luzern
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
15-02-2025
FC Lugano
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Luzern
07-12-2024
FC Luzern
1 - 4
(HT 0-2)
FC Lugano
11-08-2024
FC Lugano
2 - 3
(HT 2-1)
FC Luzern
03-03-2024
FC Luzern
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
03-12-2023
FC Lugano
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Luzern
03-09-2023
FC Luzern
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
FC Lugano
07-05-2023
FC Luzern
2 - 2
(HT 2-0)
FC Lugano
12-02-2023
FC Lugano
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
FC Luzern
22-10-2022
FC Luzern
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
07-08-2022
FC Lugano
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
FC Luzern
03-04-2022
FC Luzern
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
06-02-2022
FC Lugano
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
FC Luzern
21-11-2021
FC Lugano
3 - 1
(HT 3-1)
FC Luzern
26-09-2021
FC Luzern
2 - 3
(HT 1-3)
FC Lugano
21-05-2021
FC Luzern
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
21-02-2021
FC Lugano
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
FC Luzern
10-02-2021
FC Luzern
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
19-09-2020
FC Lugano
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
FC Luzern
12-07-2020
FC Luzern
3 - 3
(HT 0-2)
FC Lugano
24-06-2020
FC Lugano
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Luzern
03-11-2019
FC Luzern
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
22-09-2019
FC Lugano
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
FC Luzern
05-05-2019
FC Lugano
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Luzern
16-02-2019
FC Luzern
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
10-11-2018
FC Lugano
1 - 4
(HT 0-1)
FC Luzern
04-08-2018
FC Luzern
4 - 2
(HT 2-1)
FC Lugano

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FC Lugano

10.10 vs FC Luzern 4-0
W
15.10 vs FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2
W
22.10 @ Getafe 2-5
W
25.10 @ FC Thun 2-3
W
01.11 vs FC Basel 1893 2-1
W
05.11 vs Kauno Žalgiris 3-0
W

Away Crest FC Luzern

05.09 @ BSC Young Boys 3-3
D
13.09 vs FC Basel 1893 2-4
L
19.09 vs Grasshoppers 5-1
W
10.10 @ FC Lugano 4-0
L
24.10 @ FC Zurich 2-1
L
31.10 vs FC Sion 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.