FC Thun
L
L
L
L
W
W
2-3
(xG) 1.11 - 1.78
FC Lugano
W
W
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.17% Won
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Won

FC Thun vs FC Lugano

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Switzerland Super League
Stockhorn Arena
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, FC Thun scored an average of 1.08 goals per match, compared to FC Lugano 1.31 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FC Thun scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.33, whereas FC Lugano scored 2.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FC Thun vs FC Lugano match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.11 for FC Thun and 1.78 for FC Lugano. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.17%.

H2H - FC Thun vs. FC Lugano

13-12-2026
FC Lugano
-
(HT -)
FC Thun
25-10-2026
FC Thun
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
FC Lugano
25-04-2026
FC Thun
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
04-04-2026
FC Lugano
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Thun
22-11-2025
FC Thun
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
27-07-2025
FC Lugano
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
FC Thun
15-07-2020
FC Lugano
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Thun
09-02-2020
FC Thun
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
FC Lugano
24-11-2019
FC Thun
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
FC Lugano
28-07-2019
FC Lugano
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Thun
11-05-2019
FC Thun
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Lugano
06-02-2019
FC Lugano
1 - 3
(HT 0-1)
FC Thun
28-10-2018
FC Lugano
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
FC Thun
26-08-2018
FC Thun
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FC Thun

10.10 @ FC Zurich 4-2
L
15.10 @ Twente 1-0
L
22.10 vs HNK Hajduk Split 0-1
L
25.10 vs FC Lugano 2-3
L
01.11 @ Lausanne 4-5
W
05.11 vs Heart Of Midlothian 3-1
W

Away Crest FC Lugano

10.10 vs FC Luzern 4-0
W
15.10 vs FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2
W
22.10 @ Getafe 2-5
W
25.10 @ FC Thun 2-3
W
01.11 vs FC Basel 1893 2-1
W
05.11 vs Kauno Žalgiris 3-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.