FC Thun
L
L
L
L
W
W
-
(xG) 1.78 - 1.36
FC Luzern
L
W
L
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.74% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

FC Thun vs FC Luzern

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Switzerland Super League
Stockhorn Arena
In their previous 12 head-to-head matches, FC Thun scored an average of 1.67 goals per match, compared to FC Luzern 1.25 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FC Thun scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.67, whereas FC Luzern scored 1.17 and conceded 2.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FC Thun vs FC Luzern match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.78 for FC Thun and 1.36 for FC Luzern. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.74%.

H2H - FC Thun vs. FC Luzern

05-12-2026
FC Thun
-
(HT -)
FC Luzern
25-07-2026
FC Luzern
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
FC Thun
28-02-2026
FC Thun
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
FC Luzern
06-12-2025
FC Thun
4 - 1
(HT 3-0)
FC Luzern
09-08-2025
FC Luzern
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
FC Thun
05-07-2020
FC Luzern
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
FC Thun
22-02-2020
FC Thun
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
FC Luzern
05-10-2019
FC Thun
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
FC Luzern
11-08-2019
FC Luzern
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
FC Thun
27-04-2019
FC Luzern
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
FC Thun
17-03-2019
FC Thun
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Luzern
20-10-2018
FC Luzern
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
FC Thun
29-07-2018
FC Thun
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
FC Luzern

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FC Thun

10.10 @ FC Zurich 4-2
L
15.10 @ Twente 1-0
L
22.10 vs HNK Hajduk Split 0-1
L
25.10 vs FC Lugano 2-3
L
01.11 @ Lausanne 4-5
W
05.11 vs Heart Of Midlothian 3-1
W

Away Crest FC Luzern

13.09 vs FC Basel 1893 2-4
L
19.09 vs Grasshoppers 5-1
W
10.10 @ FC Lugano 4-0
L
24.10 @ FC Zurich 2-1
L
31.10 vs FC Sion 1-1
D
07.11 vs BSC Young Boys 2-3
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.