FC Zurich
D
W
D
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.44 - 2.03
FC Lugano
W
W
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 67.46% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

FC Zurich vs FC Lugano

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Switzerland Super League
Letzigrund Stadion
In their previous 31 head-to-head matches, FC Zurich scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to FC Lugano 1.26 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FC Zurich scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas FC Lugano scored 3.00 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FC Zurich vs FC Lugano match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.44 for FC Zurich and 2.03 for FC Lugano. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.46%.

H2H - FC Zurich vs. FC Lugano

05-12-2026
FC Zurich
-
(HT -)
FC Lugano
09-08-2026
FC Lugano
5 - 0
(HT 2-0)
FC Zurich
11-04-2026
FC Zurich
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
17-12-2025
FC Zurich
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
18-10-2025
FC Lugano
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Zurich
02-03-2025
FC Lugano
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
FC Zurich
24-11-2024
FC Lugano
4 - 1
(HT 3-1)
FC Zurich
06-10-2024
FC Zurich
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
FC Lugano
20-05-2024
FC Zurich
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
FC Lugano
25-02-2024
FC Lugano
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Zurich
12-11-2023
FC Lugano
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
FC Zurich
05-08-2023
FC Zurich
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
29-05-2023
FC Zurich
2 - 3
(HT 0-2)
FC Lugano
11-03-2023
FC Lugano
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
FC Zurich
06-11-2022
FC Lugano
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Zurich
03-09-2022
FC Zurich
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
FC Lugano
19-05-2022
FC Lugano
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
FC Zurich
13-02-2022
FC Zurich
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Lugano
16-10-2021
FC Zurich
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
25-07-2021
FC Lugano
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
FC Zurich
02-05-2021
FC Zurich
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Lugano
07-03-2021
FC Lugano
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
FC Zurich
13-12-2020
FC Lugano
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Zurich
26-09-2020
FC Zurich
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
FC Lugano
22-07-2020
FC Lugano
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Zurich
28-06-2020
FC Zurich
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
20-10-2019
FC Lugano
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Zurich
21-07-2019
FC Zurich
0 - 4
(HT 0-3)
FC Lugano
19-04-2019
FC Lugano
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Zurich
03-03-2019
FC Zurich
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
16-12-2018
FC Zurich
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
01-09-2018
FC Lugano
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Zurich

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FC Zurich

05.09 @ Grasshoppers 2-2
D
13.09 vs FC Vaduz 2-1
W
19.09 @ FC Sion 1-1
D
10.10 vs FC Thun 4-2
W
24.10 vs FC Luzern 2-1
W
01.11 @ BSC Young Boys 3-5
W

Away Crest FC Lugano

10.10 vs FC Luzern 4-0
W
15.10 vs FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2
W
22.10 @ Getafe 2-5
W
25.10 @ FC Thun 2-3
W
01.11 vs FC Basel 1893 2-1
W
05.11 vs Kauno Žalgiris 3-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.