FC Lugano
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.85 - 0.81
Lausanne
L
L
L
L
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 50.35% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

FC Lugano vs Lausanne

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
AIL Arena
In their previous 19 head-to-head matches, FC Lugano scored an average of 1.37 goals per match, compared to Lausanne 1.11 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FC Lugano scored an average of 3.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Lausanne scored 0.33 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FC Lugano vs Lausanne match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.85 for FC Lugano and 0.81 for Lausanne. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.35%.

H2H - FC Lugano vs. Lausanne

30-01-2027
FC Lugano
-
(HT -)
Lausanne
20-09-2026
Lausanne
0 - 4
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
22-02-2026
FC Lugano
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Lausanne
07-12-2025
Lausanne
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
17-09-2025
FC Lugano
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Lausanne
18-05-2025
Lausanne
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
FC Lugano
21-04-2025
Lausanne
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
FC Lugano
15-12-2024
FC Lugano
1 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Lausanne
18-09-2024
Lausanne
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano
20-04-2024
FC Lugano
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Lausanne
04-11-2023
Lausanne
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
27-09-2023
FC Lugano
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Lausanne
18-04-2022
Lausanne
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
FC Lugano
20-03-2022
FC Lugano
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Lausanne
07-11-2021
Lausanne
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
FC Lugano
02-10-2021
FC Lugano
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Lausanne
10-04-2021
FC Lugano
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Lausanne
28-02-2021
Lausanne
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Lugano
23-12-2020
FC Lugano
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Lausanne
07-11-2020
Lausanne
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
FC Lugano

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FC Lugano

10.10 vs FC Luzern 4-0
W
15.10 vs FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2
W
22.10 @ Getafe 2-5
W
25.10 @ FC Thun 2-3
W
01.11 vs FC Basel 1893 2-1
W
05.11 vs Kauno Žalgiris 3-0
W

Away Crest Lausanne

13.09 vs Servette FC 0-1
L
20.09 vs FC Lugano 0-4
L
11.10 @ FC ST. Gallen 1-0
L
25.10 @ FC Sion 1-0
L
01.11 vs FC Thun 4-5
L
07.11 @ Grasshoppers 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.