Fenerbahçe
W
D
L
L
W
W
-
(xG) 2.50 - 1.17
Erzurumspor FK
W
D
W
W
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 70.89% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor FK

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Turkey Süper Lig
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu
In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Erzurumspor FK 0.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fenerbahçe scored an average of 3.33 and conceded 1.50, whereas Erzurumspor FK scored 0.83 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor FK match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.50 for Fenerbahçe and 1.17 for Erzurumspor FK. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 70.89%.

H2H - Fenerbahçe vs. Erzurumspor FK

25-04-2027
Erzurumspor FK
-
(HT -)
Fenerbahçe
29-11-2026
Fenerbahçe
-
(HT -)
Erzurumspor FK

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fenerbahçe

17.10 vs Alanyaspor 3-0
W
20.10 vs Slavia Praha 2-2
D
26.10 @ Galatasaray 2-1
L
31.10 vs Goztepe 1-2
L
04.11 vs Liverpool 3-2
W
08.11 @ Yeni Çorumspor 0-5
W

Away Crest Erzurumspor FK

20.09 vs Samsunspor 1-0
W
10.10 @ Alanyaspor 0-0
D
17.10 vs Eyüpspor 2-0
W
24.10 @ Gazişehir Gaziantep 1-3
W
31.10 vs Yeni Çorumspor 1-3
L
08.11 @ Rizespor 2-1
L

Fenerbahçe (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Çorum FK Home Win Under 2.5 0 - 5
vs Liverpool Draw Over 2.5 3 - 2
vs Göztepe Draw Over 2.5 1 - 2
@ Galatasaray Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 1
vs Slavia Praha Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 2

Erzurumspor FK (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Rizespor Draw Under 2.5 2 - 1
vs Çorum FK Draw Over 2.5 1 - 3
@ Gaziantep FK Draw Under 2.5 1 - 3
vs Eyüpspor Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 0
@ Alanyaspor Home Win Over 2.5 0 - 0

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.