Kocaelispor
W
L
L
W
D
W
-
(xG) 0.89 - 1.33
Kasımpaşa
D
L
W
W
D
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 61.71% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Turkey Süper Lig
Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor scored an average of 0.33 goals per match, compared to Kasımpaşa 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Kocaelispor scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 0.50, whereas Kasımpaşa scored 1.33 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.89 for Kocaelispor and 1.33 for Kasımpaşa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 61.71%.

H2H - Kocaelispor vs. Kasımpaşa

23-05-2027
Kasımpaşa
-
(HT -)
Kocaelispor
17-01-2027
Kocaelispor
-
(HT -)
Kasımpaşa
03-05-2026
Kasımpaşa
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Kocaelispor
07-01-2026
Kasımpaşa
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kocaelispor
07-12-2025
Kocaelispor
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kasımpaşa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Kocaelispor

19.09 vs Gazişehir Gaziantep 2-0
W
11.10 @ Besiktas 2-1
L
18.10 vs Goztepe 1-2
L
23.10 @ Alanyaspor 1-2
W
31.10 vs Rizespor 0-0
D
07.11 @ Eyüpspor 0-2
W

Away Crest Kasımpaşa

18.09 vs Konyaspor 0-0
D
09.10 @ Galatasaray 3-1
L
18.10 vs Samsunspor 4-1
W
24.10 @ Eyüpspor 0-1
W
01.11 vs Besiktas 2-2
D
06.11 @ Gazişehir Gaziantep 0-2
W

Kocaelispor (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Eyüpspor Draw Under 2.5 0 - 2
vs Rizespor Draw Under 2.5 0 - 0
@ Alanyaspor Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 2
vs Göztepe Draw Under 2.5 1 - 2
@ Beşiktaş Home Win Under 2.5 2 - 1

Kasımpaşa (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Gaziantep FK Away Win Over 2.5 0 - 2
vs Beşiktaş Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 2
@ Eyüpspor Draw Under 2.5 0 - 1
vs Samsunspor Draw Under 2.5 4 - 1
@ Galatasaray Draw Over 2.5 3 - 1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.