Kocaelispor
W
L
L
W
D
W
-
(xG) 1.28 - 1.44
Beşiktaş
L
D
W
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.21% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Turkey Süper Lig
Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor scored an average of 0.67 goals per match, compared to Beşiktaş 2.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Kocaelispor scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 0.50, whereas Beşiktaş scored 1.83 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.28 for Kocaelispor and 1.44 for Beşiktaş. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.21%.

H2H - Kocaelispor vs. Beşiktaş

07-03-2027
Kocaelispor
-
(HT -)
Beşiktaş
11-10-2026
Beşiktaş
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Kocaelispor
28-02-2026
Kocaelispor
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Beşiktaş
29-09-2025
Beşiktaş
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Kocaelispor

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Kocaelispor

19.09 vs Gazişehir Gaziantep 2-0
W
11.10 @ Besiktas 2-1
L
18.10 vs Goztepe 1-2
L
23.10 @ Alanyaspor 1-2
W
31.10 vs Rizespor 0-0
D
07.11 @ Eyüpspor 0-2
W

Away Crest Beşiktaş

19.10 @ Trabzonspor 2-0
L
22.10 vs Crystal Palace 2-2
D
26.10 vs Istanbul Basaksehir 2-0
W
01.11 @ Kasimpasa 2-2
D
05.11 @ Celtic 3-2
L
08.11 vs Genclerbirligi 3-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.