Fenerbahçe
W
D
L
L
W
W
-
(xG) 2.22 - 0.94
Kocaelispor
W
L
L
W
D
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 61.31% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Fenerbahçe vs Kocaelispor

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Turkey Süper Lig
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu
In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe scored an average of 2.50 goals per match, compared to Kocaelispor 0.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fenerbahçe scored an average of 3.00 and conceded 1.17, whereas Kocaelispor scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fenerbahçe vs Kocaelispor match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.22 for Fenerbahçe and 0.94 for Kocaelispor. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 61.31%.

H2H - Fenerbahçe vs. Kocaelispor

18-04-2027
Fenerbahçe
-
(HT -)
Kocaelispor
21-11-2026
Kocaelispor
-
(HT -)
Fenerbahçe
02-02-2026
Kocaelispor
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Fenerbahçe
23-08-2025
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Kocaelispor

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fenerbahçe

17.10 vs Alanyaspor 3-0
W
20.10 vs Slavia Praha 2-2
D
26.10 @ Galatasaray 2-1
L
31.10 vs Goztepe 1-2
L
04.11 vs Liverpool 3-2
W
08.11 @ Yeni Çorumspor 0-5
W

Away Crest Kocaelispor

19.09 vs Gazişehir Gaziantep 2-0
W
11.10 @ Besiktas 2-1
L
18.10 vs Goztepe 1-2
L
23.10 @ Alanyaspor 1-2
W
31.10 vs Rizespor 0-0
D
07.11 @ Eyüpspor 0-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.