Fenerbahçe
W
D
L
L
W
W
-
(xG) 2.91 - 1.27
Başakşehir
W
D
W
L
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 78.68% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Fenerbahçe vs Başakşehir

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Turkey Süper Lig
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe scored an average of 1.90 goals per match, compared to Başakşehir 0.80 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fenerbahçe scored an average of 3.33 and conceded 1.50, whereas Başakşehir scored 0.83 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fenerbahçe vs Başakşehir match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.91 for Fenerbahçe and 1.27 for Başakşehir. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 78.68%.

H2H - Fenerbahçe vs. Başakşehir

02-05-2027
Fenerbahçe
-
(HT -)
Başakşehir
05-12-2026
Başakşehir
-
(HT -)
Fenerbahçe
02-05-2026
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Başakşehir
06-12-2025
Başakşehir
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Fenerbahçe
09-05-2025
Istanbul Basaksehir
1 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Fenerbahce
15-12-2024
Fenerbahce
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Istanbul Basaksehir
24-01-2024
Istanbul Basaksehir
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Fenerbahce
28-09-2023
Fenerbahce
4 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Istanbul Basaksehir
19-04-2023
Istanbul Basaksehir
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Fenerbahce
22-10-2022
Fenerbahce
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Istanbul Basaksehir
05-02-2022
Fenerbahce
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Istanbul Basaksehir
19-09-2021
Istanbul Basaksehir
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Fenerbahce

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fenerbahçe

17.10 vs Alanyaspor 3-0
W
20.10 vs Slavia Praha 2-2
D
26.10 @ Galatasaray 2-1
L
31.10 vs Goztepe 1-2
L
04.11 vs Liverpool 3-2
W
08.11 @ Yeni Çorumspor 0-5
W

Away Crest Başakşehir

19.09 vs Genclerbirligi 4-0
W
11.10 @ Konyaspor 0-0
D
18.10 vs Gazişehir Gaziantep 2-1
W
26.10 @ Besiktas 2-0
L
01.11 vs Samsunspor 5-2
W
07.11 @ Goztepe 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.