What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Gambia

(xG) 1.67 - 1.83

Ivory Coast

Mathematical Predictions: Gambia vs Ivory Coast

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 67.92% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Gambia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Gambia
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Ivory Coast Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Ivory Coast
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Gambia vs Ivory Coast

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

2026-11-17T18:00:00

Independence Stadium

In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Gambia scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Ivory Coast 1.50 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Gambia scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Ivory Coast scored 2.00 and conceded 0.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Gambia vs Ivory Coast match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.67 for Gambia and 1.83 for Ivory Coast. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.92%.

H2H - Gambia vs. Ivory Coast

17 Nov 26

Gambia

(HT -)

Ivory Coast

24 Mar 25

Ivory Coast

1 - 0

(HT 1-0)

Gambia

20 Nov 23

Gambia

0 - 2

(HT 0-1)

Ivory Coast

Team Form (Last 6)

Gambia

14 Oct @ Seychelles 0-7

18 Nov @ Kuwait 2-2

31 Mar @ Senegal 3-1

29 May @ Iran 3-1

25 Sep vs Somalia 2-1

29 Sep @ Ghana 2-4

Ivory Coast

15 Jun vs Ecuador 1-0

20 Jun @ Germany 2-1

25 Jun @ Curaçao 0-2

30 Jun vs Norway 1-2

24 Sep vs Ghana 2-0

29 Sep @ Somalia 0-2

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.