What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Mali

(xG) 2.00 - 0.50

Liberia

Mathematical Predictions: Mali vs Liberia

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 54.38% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Home Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Mali Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Mali
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Liberia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Liberia
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Mali vs Liberia

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

2027-03-28T20:00:00

TBA

In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Mali scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Liberia 0.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Mali scored an average of 3.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Liberia scored 1.00 and conceded 3.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Mali vs Liberia match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.00 for Mali and 0.50 for Liberia. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.38%.

H2H - Mali vs. Liberia

28 Mar 27

Mali

(HT -)

Liberia

29 Sep 26

Liberia

0 - 1

(HT 0-0)

Mali

Team Form (Last 6)

Mali

03 Jan vs Tunisia 1-1

09 Jan vs Senegal 0-1

31 Mar @ Russia 0-0

04 Jun @ Iran 2-0

25 Sep vs Cape Verde Islands 3-1

29 Sep @ Liberia 0-1

Liberia

27 Mar @ Benin 1-0

31 Mar vs Libya 2-2

06 Jun @ Sierra Leone 1-0

09 Jun vs Sierra Leone 3-1

25 Sep @ Rwanda 3-1

29 Sep vs Mali 0-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.