What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Kashima

(xG) 2.18 - 0.44

Fagiano Okayama

Mathematical Predictions: Kashima vs Fagiano Okayama

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 51.15% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Home Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Kashima Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Kashima
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
15 Jul 26	vs Vegalta Sendai	X	O2.5	5-0

Fagiano Okayama Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fagiano Okayama
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
25 Jul 26	@ FC Schalke 04	1	U2.5	3-1
22 Jul 26	@ Werder Bremen	1	U2.5	2-0
21 Jul 26	@ Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	1	O2.5	1-2
14 Jul 26	@ SV Wehen	X	U2.5	2-0

Kashima vs Fagiano Okayama

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Friendlies Clubs

2025-01-25T21:00:00

TBA

In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Kashima scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Fagiano Okayama 0.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Kashima scored an average of 2.75 and conceded 0.50, whereas Fagiano Okayama scored 0.67 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Kashima vs Fagiano Okayama match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.18 for Kashima and 0.44 for Fagiano Okayama. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.15%.

H2H - Kashima vs. Fagiano Okayama

20 Jan 26

Kashima

1 - 0

(HT -)

Fagiano Okayama

25 Jan 25

Kashima

(HT -)

Fagiano Okayama

Team Form (Last 6)

Kashima

17 Jan vs Roasso Kumamoto 2-2

21 Jan vs Kanazawa 3-0

20 Jan vs Fagiano Okayama 1-0

24 Jan @ Avispa Fukuoka 3-3

15 Jul vs Vegalta Sendai 5-0

Fagiano Okayama

20 Jan @ Kashima 1-0

14 Jul @ SV Wehen 2-0

17 Jul @ SC Paderborn 07 3-1

21 Jul @ Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-2

22 Jul @ Werder Bremen 2-0

25 Jul @ FC Schalke 04 3-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.