What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

World Friendlies Clubs

2025-07-19T16:00:00

TBA

Bastia

W D W L L D

xG 0.78 - 0.33

Martigues

L W L D L D

Mathematical Predictions: Bastia vs Martigues

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 89.82% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Home Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Bastia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Bastia
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Martigues Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Martigues
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Bastia vs Martigues

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Friendlies Clubs

2025-07-19T16:00:00

TBA

In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Bastia scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Martigues 0.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Bastia scored an average of 0.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Martigues scored 0.00 and conceded 0.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bastia vs Martigues match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.78 for Bastia and 0.33 for Martigues. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 89.82%.

H2H - Bastia vs. Martigues

19 Jul 25

Bastia

(HT -)

Martigues

07 Mar 25

Bastia

1 - 0

(HT 1-0)

Martigues

30 Aug 24

Martigues

0 - 1

(HT 0-0)

Bastia

Team Form (Last 6)

Bastia

18 Apr vs Saint Etienne 2-0

24 Apr @ Clermont Foot 1-1

02 May @ Guingamp 0-1

09 May vs Le Mans 0-2

10 Jul @ Rodez 5-3

24 Jul @ Aubagne 1-1

Martigues

11 Apr vs Metz 1-4

18 Apr @ Caen 0-3

25 Apr @ Guingamp 2-1

02 May vs Paris FC 1-1

10 May @ Lorient 5-1

26 Jul vs Ajaccio 1-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.