World Friendlies Clubs
TBA
Chaves
L W L L W W
VS
xG 3.33 - 1.00
Ponferradina
D L D W D D

Mathematical Predictions: Chaves vs Ponferradina

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 80.68% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Chaves team crest Chaves Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Chaves
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
16 Oct 26 vs Os Marialvas X U2.5 2-1
20 Sep 26 @ Guarda X O2.5 2-3
01 Aug 26 @ Guimaraes 1 U2.5 2-0
25 Jul 26 vs Guimaraes B 1 U2.5 2-3
22 Jul 26 vs Amarante 1 O2.5 2-1

Ponferradina team crest Ponferradina Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Ponferradina
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
19 Aug 26 vs Real Madrid II X U2.5 2-2
08 Aug 26 @ Marino de Luanco 1 O2.5 0-3
01 Aug 26 vs Real Avilés X U2.5 1-1
29 Jul 26 @ Oviedo 1 U2.5 4-0

Chaves vs Ponferradina

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
World Friendlies Clubs
TBA
In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, Chaves scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Ponferradina 0.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Chaves scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Ponferradina scored 1.00 and conceded 4.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Chaves vs Ponferradina match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 3.33 for Chaves and 1.00 for Ponferradina. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 80.68%.

H2H - Chaves vs. Ponferradina

23 Jul 25
Chaves
-
(HT -)
Ponferradina

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Chaves

18 Jul @ Vizela 1-0
L
22 Jul vs Amarante 2-1
W
25 Jul vs Guimaraes B 2-3
L
01 Aug @ Guimaraes 2-0
L
20 Sep @ Guarda 2-3
W
16 Oct vs Os Marialvas 2-1
W

Away Crest Ponferradina

04 Dec vs Racing Santander 1-1
D
29 Jul @ Oviedo 4-0
L
01 Aug vs Real Avilés 1-1
D
08 Aug @ Marino de Luanco 0-3
W
19 Aug vs Real Madrid II 2-2
D
27 Oct @ Llanera 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.