What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Finn Harps

(xG) 1.38 - 0.75

Derry City

Mathematical Predictions: Finn Harps vs Derry City

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 64.29% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Finn Harps Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Finn Harps
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Derry City Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Derry City
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
30 Jul 26	vs HNK Rijeka	X	U2.5	0-1
23 Jul 26	@ HNK Rijeka	1	U2.5	1-0
16 Jul 26	vs CSKA Sofia	X	U2.5	1-2

Finn Harps vs Derry City

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Friendlies Clubs

2026-01-17T19:00:00

TBA

In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Derry City 0.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Finn Harps scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 0.00, whereas Derry City scored 1.50 and conceded 1.75.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Finn Harps vs Derry City match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.38 for Finn Harps and 0.75 for Derry City. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.29%.

H2H - Finn Harps vs. Derry City

17 Jan 26

Finn Harps

(HT -)

Derry City

11 Jan 25

Finn Harps

(HT -)

Derry City

Team Form (Last 6)

Finn Harps

08 Feb @ Sligo Rovers 4-0

13 Jan vs Sligo Rovers 1-0

31 Jan @ Sligo Rovers 1-0

Derry City

09 Jan @ Sligo Rovers 1-0

23 Jan @ Polessya 2-1

09 Jul @ CSKA Sofia 3-2

16 Jul vs CSKA Sofia 1-2

23 Jul @ HNK Rijeka 1-0

30 Jul vs HNK Rijeka 0-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.