TBA
Penybont
L D D W L L
VS
xG 1.50 - 0.75
Caerau (Ely)
W D W L L D

Mathematical Predictions: Penybont vs Caerau (Ely)

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 60.93% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Penybont team crest Penybont Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Penybont
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
16 Jul 26 @ FC Santa Coloma X U2.5 3-0

Caerau (Ely) team crest Caerau (Ely) Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Caerau (Ely)
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
25 Jul 26 vs Barnstaple Town 1 O2.5 4-4
21 Jul 26 @ Haverfordwest County AFC 1 U2.5 2-1
11 Jul 26 @ Evesham United X U2.5 2-0

Penybont vs Caerau (Ely)

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, Penybont scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Caerau (Ely) 0.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Penybont scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Caerau (Ely) scored 0.50 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Penybont vs Caerau (Ely) match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.50 for Penybont and 0.75 for Caerau (Ely). Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.93%.

H2H - Penybont vs. Caerau (Ely)

13 Jun 26
Penybont
-
(HT -)
Caerau (Ely)

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Penybont

10 Jul @ Kauno Žalgiris 3-0
L
17 Jul vs Kauno Žalgiris 1-1
D
26 Jul vs Taunton Town 1-1
D
23 Jun @ Trethomas Bluebirds 0-3
W
09 Jul vs FC Santa Coloma 0-1
L
16 Jul @ FC Santa Coloma 3-0
L

Away Crest Caerau (Ely)

26 Jun vs Undy Athletic 2-0
W
30 Jun vs Cardiff Corinthians 0-0
D
03 Jul vs Croesyceiliog AFC 5-1
W
11 Jul @ Evesham United 2-0
L
21 Jul @ Haverfordwest County AFC 2-1
L
25 Jul vs Barnstaple Town 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.