Alverca
W
W
W
D
L
L
-
(xG) 1.50 - 1.50
Estrela
D
L
L
W
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 57.73% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Alverca vs Estrela

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
World Friendlies Clubs
TBA
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Alverca scored an average of 1.67 goals per match, compared to Estrela 1.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Alverca scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Estrela scored 1.83 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Alverca vs Estrela match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.50 for Alverca and 1.50 for Estrela. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 57.73%.

H2H - Alverca vs. Estrela

24-01-2027
Estrela
-
(HT -)
Alverca
15-08-2026
Alverca
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Estrela
11-07-2026
Alverca
-
(HT -)
Estrela
31-01-2026
Alverca
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Estrela
25-08-2025
Estrela
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Alverca

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Alverca

12.09 @ Nacional 1-3
W
19.09 vs Rio Ave 1-0
W
12.10 @ Famalicao 1-4
W
18.10 @ Tondela 0-0
D
24.10 vs Arouca 0-1
L
02.11 @ Benfica 1-0
L

Away Crest Estrela

14.09 @ Rio Ave 3-3
D
20.09 vs Academico Viseu 0-2
L
11.10 @ Arouca 1-0
L
17.10 @ Fazendense 1-2
W
24.10 vs Casa Pia 0-2
L
31.10 @ Moreirense 2-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.