TBA
Caerau (Ely)
W D W L L D
VS
xG 2.54 - 1.96
Briton Ferry
D W L L W L

Mathematical Predictions: Caerau (Ely) vs Briton Ferry

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 82.64% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Caerau (Ely) team crest Caerau (Ely) Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Caerau (Ely)
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
25 Jul 26 vs Barnstaple Town 1 O2.5 4-4
21 Jul 26 @ Haverfordwest County AFC 1 U2.5 2-1
11 Jul 26 @ Evesham United X U2.5 2-0

Briton Ferry team crest Briton Ferry Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Briton Ferry
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
21 Jul 26 vs Merthyr Town 2 U2.5 3-0

Caerau (Ely) vs Briton Ferry

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, Caerau (Ely) scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Briton Ferry 0.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Caerau (Ely) scored an average of 2.75 and conceded 1.25, whereas Briton Ferry scored 2.67 and conceded 2.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Caerau (Ely) vs Briton Ferry match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.54 for Caerau (Ely) and 1.96 for Briton Ferry. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 82.64%.

H2H - Caerau (Ely) vs. Briton Ferry

17 Jul 26
Caerau (Ely)
-
(HT -)
Briton Ferry

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Caerau (Ely)

26 Jun vs Undy Athletic 2-0
W
30 Jun vs Cardiff Corinthians 0-0
D
03 Jul vs Croesyceiliog AFC 5-1
W
11 Jul @ Evesham United 2-0
L
21 Jul @ Haverfordwest County AFC 2-1
L
25 Jul vs Barnstaple Town 4-4
D

Away Crest Briton Ferry

22 Jul vs Swansea City U21 1-1
D
25 Jul @ Falmouth Town 0-6
W
26 Jul @ Tavistock 2-1
L
10 Jul @ Oxford City 4-0
L
14 Jul @ Carmarthen Town 2-3
W
21 Jul @ Merthyr Town 3-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.