TBA
Fleetwood Town
L L D W D W
VS
xG 1.69 - 2.06
Carlisle
L W L W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 72.29% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fleetwood Town team crest Fleetwood Town Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fleetwood Town
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
14 Nov 26 vs Tranmere X U2.5 1-0
31 Oct 26 vs Bristol Rovers 1 U2.5 3-1
24 Oct 26 @ Exeter City X U2.5 2-1
20 Oct 26 @ Cheltenham X U2.5 4-2
17 Oct 26 vs Rotherham 1 U2.5 2-0

Carlisle team crest Carlisle Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Carlisle
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Salford City 2 O2.5 1-0
17 Oct 26 vs Tamworth X O2.5 2-1
01 Aug 26 @ Derby County U21 X U2.5 0-3
28 Jul 26 vs Salford City 1 O2.5 0-2
21 Jul 26 @ Darlington 1883 2 O2.5 2-4

Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood Town scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Carlisle 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fleetwood Town scored an average of 1.75 and conceded 0.75, whereas Carlisle scored 2.50 and conceded 0.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.69 for Fleetwood Town and 2.06 for Carlisle. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 72.29%.

H2H - Fleetwood Town vs. Carlisle

24 Jul 26
Fleetwood Town
-
(HT -)
Carlisle
25 Jan 25
Fleetwood Town
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Carlisle
14 Sep 24
Carlisle
2 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Fleetwood Town
26 Dec 23
Fleetwood Town
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Carlisle
05 Aug 23
Carlisle
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Fleetwood Town

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fleetwood Town

20 Oct @ Cheltenham 4-2
L
24 Oct @ Exeter City 2-1
L
27 Oct vs Arsenal 1-1
D
31 Oct vs Bristol Rovers 3-1
W
07 Nov vs Rochdale 1-1
D
14 Nov vs Tranmere 1-0
W

Away Crest Carlisle

07 Dec @ Blackpool 4-1
L
21 Jul @ Darlington 1883 2-4
W
28 Jul vs Salford City 0-2
L
01 Aug @ Derby County U21 0-3
W
17 Oct vs Tamworth 2-1
W
07 Nov vs Salford City 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.