FSV Mainz 05 II
D
L
D
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.58 - 1.75
Thionville Lusitanos
D
D
L
W
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 64.72% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

FSV Mainz 05 II vs Thionville Lusitanos

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, FSV Mainz 05 II scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Thionville Lusitanos 0.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FSV Mainz 05 II scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 0.50, whereas Thionville Lusitanos scored 3.00 and conceded 0.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FSV Mainz 05 II vs Thionville Lusitanos match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.58 for FSV Mainz 05 II and 1.75 for Thionville Lusitanos. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.72%.

H2H - FSV Mainz 05 II vs. Thionville Lusitanos

01-08-2026
FSV Mainz 05 II
-
(HT -)
Thionville Lusitanos

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FSV Mainz 05 II

31.01 vs TuS Koblenz 0-0
D
07.02 @ Kickers Offenbach 1-0
L
14.02 vs FC Astoria Walldorf 1-1
D
04.07 vs Progres Niederkorn 1-0
W
11.07 @ Rot-weiss Erfurt 0-3
W
22.07 vs Kreuzlingen 2-1
W

Away Crest Thionville Lusitanos

22.12 vs Valenciennes 2-2
D
19.07 vs Progres Niederkorn 1-1
D
15.11 @ Racing Besançon 4-0
L
04.07 @ RM Hamm Benfica 0-4
W
11.07 @ Progres Niederkorn 0-5
W
18.07 vs Nancy 2-2
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.