World Friendlies Clubs
Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
D W D W W W
VS
xG 1.37 - 1.74
Borussia Dortmund
W W W D W W

Mathematical Predictions: Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.22% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Arsenal team crest Arsenal Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Arsenal
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Hull City 1 O2.5 1-0
04 Nov 26 @ Slavia Praha 2 O2.5 1-2
01 Nov 26 @ Liverpool 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 vs Everton 1 O2.5 2-0
21 Oct 26 @ Bayern München 1 O2.5 2-2

Borussia Dortmund team crest Borussia Dortmund Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Borussia Dortmund
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs SV Elversberg 1 O2.5 2-1
04 Nov 26 vs Real Betis 1 O2.5 2-1
31 Oct 26 @ Bayern München 1 O2.5 2-2
27 Oct 26 vs Werder Bremen 1 O2.5 3-2
24 Oct 26 vs Eintracht Frankfurt X O2.5 1-0

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
World Friendlies Clubs
Emirates Stadium
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.29 goals per match, compared to Borussia Dortmund 1.29 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 1.83, whereas Borussia Dortmund scored 2.60 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.37 for Arsenal and 1.74 for Borussia Dortmund. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.22%.

H2H - Arsenal vs. Borussia Dortmund

24 Nov 26
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Borussia Dortmund
09 Aug 26
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Borussia Dortmund
09 Aug 26
Arsenal
2 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Borussia Dortmund
26 Nov 14
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Borussia Dortmund
16 Sep 14
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
06 Nov 13
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
22 Oct 13
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Borussia Dortmund
23 Nov 11
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Borussia Dortmund

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal

21 Oct @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24 Oct vs Everton 2-0
W
27 Oct @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01 Nov @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04 Nov @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07 Nov vs Hull City 1-0
W

Away Crest Borussia Dortmund

20 Oct @ Sabah FA 1-2
W
24 Oct vs Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0
W
27 Oct vs Werder Bremen 3-2
W
31 Oct @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
04 Nov vs Real Betis 2-1
W
07 Nov vs SV Elversberg 2-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.