What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

World Friendlies

2025-07-21T17:00:00

Black Rhino Academy Stadium

Tanzania

L D D L L D

xG 1.25 - 0.17

Congo

L D L L L D

Mathematical Predictions: Tanzania vs Congo

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 82.95% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Home Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Tanzania Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Tanzania
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Congo Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Congo
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Tanzania vs Congo

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Friendlies

2025-07-21T17:00:00

Black Rhino Academy Stadium

In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Tanzania scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to Congo 0.50 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Tanzania scored an average of 0.75 and conceded 1.25, whereas Congo scored 0.00 and conceded 0.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Tanzania vs Congo match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.25 for Tanzania and 0.17 for Congo. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 82.95%.

H2H - Tanzania vs. Congo

05 Sep 25

Congo

1 - 1

(HT 0-0)

Tanzania

21 Jul 25

Tanzania

(HT -)

Congo

19 Mar 25

Tanzania

3 - 0

(HT -)

Congo

Team Form (Last 6)

Tanzania

23 Dec @ Nigeria 2-1

27 Dec @ Uganda 1-1

30 Dec vs Tunisia 1-1

04 Jan @ Morocco 1-0

25 Sep vs Guinea-Bissau 0-2

29 Sep @ Madagascar 1-1

Congo

22 Mar vs Zambia 0-3

05 Sep vs Tanzania 1-1

08 Oct @ Niger 3-1

14 Oct @ Morocco 1-0

24 Sep @ Namibia 1-0

29 Sep vs Cameroon 1-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.