What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Uganda

(xG) 1.11 - 1.00

Tanzania

Mathematical Predictions: Uganda vs Tanzania

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 64.66% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Uganda Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Uganda
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Tanzania Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Tanzania
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Uganda vs Tanzania

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Friendlies

2025-07-27T17:00:00

Black Rhino Academy Stadium

In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Uganda scored an average of 0.50 goals per match, compared to Tanzania 1.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Uganda scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.00, whereas Tanzania scored 1.00 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Uganda vs Tanzania match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.11 for Uganda and 1.00 for Tanzania. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.66%.

H2H - Uganda vs. Tanzania

27 Dec 25

Uganda

1 - 1

(HT 0-0)

Tanzania

27 Jul 25

Uganda

(HT -)

Tanzania

22 Jul 25

Tanzania

1 - 0

(HT 1-0)

Uganda

Team Form (Last 6)

Uganda

18 Nov @ Morocco 4-0

23 Dec @ Tunisia 3-1

27 Dec vs Tanzania 1-1

30 Dec vs Nigeria 1-3

24 Sep @ Tunisia 1-1

29 Sep vs Libya 1-0

Tanzania

23 Dec @ Nigeria 2-1

27 Dec @ Uganda 1-1

30 Dec vs Tunisia 1-1

04 Jan @ Morocco 1-0

25 Sep vs Guinea-Bissau 0-2

29 Sep @ Madagascar 1-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.