USA
L
W
W
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.21 - 1.38
Mexico
W
W
W
W
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 52.26% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

USA vs Mexico

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
State Farm Stadium
In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, USA scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Mexico 0.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, USA scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.50, whereas Mexico scored 1.25 and conceded 0.25.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in USA vs Mexico match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.21 for USA and 1.38 for Mexico. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.26%.

H2H - USA vs. Mexico

04-10-2026
USA
-
(HT -)
Mexico

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest USA

06.06 vs Germany 1-2
L
13.06 vs Paraguay 4-1
W
19.06 vs Australia 2-0
W
26.06 @ Turkey 3-2
L
02.07 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0
W
07.07 vs Belgium 1-4
L

Away Crest Mexico

05.06 vs Serbia 5-1
W
11.06 vs South Africa 2-0
W
19.06 vs South Korea 1-0
W
25.06 @ Czech Republic 0-3
W
01.07 vs Ecuador 2-0
W
06.07 vs England 2-3
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.