Mexico
W
W
W
W
W
L
-
(xG) 1.22 - 2.83
Chile
D
W
W
W
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 76.99% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Mexico vs Chile

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
World Friendlies
TBA
In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Mexico scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Chile 7.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Mexico scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.67, whereas Chile scored 0.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Mexico vs Chile match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.22 for Mexico and 2.83 for Chile. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 76.99%.

H2H - Mexico vs. Chile

06-10-2026
Mexico
-
(HT -)
Chile
19-06-2016
Mexico
0 - 7
(HT 0-2)
Chile

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Mexico

05.06 vs Serbia 5-1
W
11.06 vs South Africa 2-0
W
19.06 vs South Korea 1-0
W
25.06 @ Czech Republic 0-3
W
01.07 vs Ecuador 2-0
W
06.07 vs England 2-3
L

Away Crest Chile

10.09 vs Uruguay 0-0
D
11.10 vs Peru 2-1
W
15.11 @ Russia 0-2
W
18.11 vs Peru 2-1
W
06.06 @ Portugal 2-1
L
09.06 @ Congo DR 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.