USA
L
W
W
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.50 - 1.33
Canada
D
D
W
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.85% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

USA vs Canada

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Allianz Field
In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, USA scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Canada 0.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, USA scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.50, whereas Canada scored 1.17 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in USA vs Canada match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.50 for USA and 1.33 for Canada. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.85%.

H2H - USA vs. Canada

07-10-2026
USA
-
(HT -)
Canada

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest USA

06.06 vs Germany 1-2
L
13.06 vs Paraguay 4-1
W
19.06 vs Australia 2-0
W
26.06 @ Turkey 3-2
L
02.07 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0
W
07.07 vs Belgium 1-4
L

Away Crest Canada

06.06 vs Rep. Of Ireland 1-1
D
12.06 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1
D
19.06 vs Qatar 6-0
W
24.06 @ Switzerland 2-1
L
28.06 @ South Africa 0-1
W
04.07 vs Morocco 0-3
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.