FK Tobol Kostanay
L
L
D
D
L
L
1-1
(xG) 1.17 - 0.83
Panevėžys
W
W
W
W
D
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 67.67% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Won

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
World UEFA Europa Conference League
Centralnyj Stadion
In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, FK Tobol Kostanay scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Panevėžys 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FK Tobol Kostanay scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 1.17, whereas Panevėžys scored 0.50 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.17 for FK Tobol Kostanay and 0.83 for Panevėžys. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.67%.

H2H - FK Tobol Kostanay vs. Panevėžys

30-07-2026
FK Tobol Kostanay
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Panevėžys
23-07-2026
Panevėžys
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
FK Tobol Kostanay

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FK Tobol Kostanay

08.02 @ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 3-0
L
13.02 @ Nizhny Novgorod 2-1
L
23.07 @ Panevėžys 1-1
D
30.07 vs Panevėžys 1-1
D
06.08 @ FK Partizan 3-0
L
13.08 vs FK Partizan 1-2
L

Away Crest Panevėžys

24.01 vs FS Jelgava 2-0
W
31.01 vs Tukums 2-1
W
07.02 vs Metta / LU 2-1
W
11.02 vs TransINVEST Vilnius 4-1
W
23.07 vs FK Tobol Kostanay 1-1
D
30.07 @ FK Tobol Kostanay 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.