Monaco
W
L
W
D
L
W
3-0
(xG) 1.83 - 1.67
SC Freiburg
L
L
L
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 67.92% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1 2.25
X 3.62
2 3.16
O 2.5 1.74
U 2.5 2.16
Updated 2026-10-22 06:34:15

Monaco vs SC Freiburg

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stade Louis II
In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Monaco scored an average of 3.00 goals per match, compared to SC Freiburg 0.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Monaco scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.00, whereas SC Freiburg scored 2.33 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Monaco vs SC Freiburg match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.83 for Monaco and 1.67 for SC Freiburg. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.92%.

H2H - Monaco vs. SC Freiburg

22-10-2026
Monaco
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
SC Freiburg

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Monaco

15.10 @ CSKA Sofia 1-2
W
18.10 @ Lorient 1-0
L
22.10 vs SC Freiburg 3-0
W
25.10 vs Lille 1-1
D
01.11 @ Paris FC 3-1
L
05.11 vs FC Nordsjaelland 2-0
W

Away Crest SC Freiburg

18.10 @ Bayer Leverkusen 2-1
L
22.10 @ Monaco 3-0
L
25.10 vs Bayern Munich 1-3
L
28.10 vs VfL Wolfsburg 3-2
W
31.10 @ FC Augsburg 1-2
W
05.11 @ Trabzonspor 0-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.