Jagiellonia
W
L
L
W
W
L
0-3
(xG) 1.42 - 1.33
Anderlecht
W
L
W
L
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.85% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1 3.12
X 3.67
2 2.28
O 2.5 1.79
U 2.5 2.12
1 3.05
X 3.55
2 2.27
O 2.5 1.78
U 2.5 2.10
1 3.10
X 3.60
2 2.29
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-10-21 20:03:43

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Chorten Arena
In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Anderlecht 3.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Jagiellonia scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 1.67, whereas Anderlecht scored 1.00 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.42 for Jagiellonia and 1.33 for Anderlecht. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.85%.

H2H - Jagiellonia vs. Anderlecht

22-10-2026
Jagiellonia
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Anderlecht

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Jagiellonia

15.10 vs Ararat-Armenia 3-1
W
18.10 @ Zaglebie Lubin 1-0
L
22.10 vs Anderlecht 0-3
L
25.10 vs Wisla Plock 1-0
W
31.10 @ Wieczysta Kraków 1-3
W
05.11 @ Levski Sofia 1-0
L

Away Crest Anderlecht

10.10 @ Cercle Brugge 1-2
W
15.10 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1-0
L
22.10 @ Jagiellonia 0-3
W
25.10 @ Gent 4-0
L
31.10 vs KVC Westerlo 4-1
W
05.11 vs Red Bull Salzburg 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.