Paris Saint Germain
W
W
W
W
W
W
2-1
(xG) 2.00 - 1.83
Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D

Mathematical Predictions: Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 73.64% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Paris Saint Germain team crest Paris Saint Germain Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Paris Saint Germain
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Estac Troyes 1 O2.5 1-0
03 Nov 26 @ Villarreal 2 O2.5 0-6
30 Oct 26 @ Le Havre 2 O2.5 1-5
26 Oct 26 vs Lyon 1 O2.5 2-0
20 Oct 26 vs Barcelona 2 O2.5 4-2

Aston Villa team crest Aston Villa Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Aston Villa
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Manchester United 1 O2.5 4-4
03 Nov 26 @ Barcelona 1 O2.5 3-0
31 Oct 26 vs Fulham 1 O2.5 1-1
28 Oct 26 @ Bournemouth 1 O2.5 3-0
24 Oct 26 vs Manchester City 2 O2.5 2-1

Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
World UEFA Super Cup
TBA
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Paris Saint Germain scored an average of 2.33 goals per match, compared to Aston Villa 1.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Paris Saint Germain scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.33, whereas Aston Villa scored 2.17 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.00 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.83 for Aston Villa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 73.64%.

H2H - Paris Saint Germain vs. Aston Villa

12 Aug 26
Paris Saint Germain
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
15 Apr 25
Aston Villa
3 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Paris Saint Germain
09 Apr 25
Paris Saint Germain
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Paris Saint Germain

17 Oct @ Strasbourg 1-3
W
20 Oct vs Barcelona 4-2
W
26 Oct vs Lyon 2-0
W
30 Oct @ LE Havre 1-5
W
03 Nov @ Villarreal 0-6
W
07 Nov vs Estac Troyes 1-0
W

Away Crest Aston Villa

21 Oct vs Viking 3-1
W
24 Oct vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28 Oct @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31 Oct vs Fulham 1-1
D
03 Nov @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08 Nov @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.