Tigre
L
L
L
D
L
W
-
(xG) 0.94 - 0.89
Sarmiento Junin
L
W
D
D
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 72.23% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Tigre scored an average of 0.33 goals per match, compared to Sarmiento Junin 0.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Tigre scored an average of 0.67 and conceded 0.83, whereas Sarmiento Junin scored 1.50 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.94 for Tigre and 0.89 for Sarmiento Junin. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 72.23%.

H2H - Tigre vs. Sarmiento Junin

07-11-2026
Tigre
-
(HT -)
Sarmiento Junin
26-04-2026
Sarmiento Junin
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Tigre
18-08-2024
Sarmiento Junin
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Tigre
14-04-2023
Tigre
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Sarmiento Junin

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Tigre

21.09 @ Velez Sarsfield 3-2
L
05.10 @ Argentinos JRS 2-1
L
11.10 vs Banfield 1-2
L
17.10 @ Independ. Rivadavia 2-2
D
24.10 vs Atletico Tucuman 0-1
L
30.10 @ Huracan 0-2
W

Away Crest Sarmiento Junin

19.09 @ Racing Club 3-1
L
09.10 @ Aldosivi 1-3
W
15.10 vs River Plate 1-1
D
20.10 vs Barracas Central 1-1
D
23.10 @ Gimnasia L.P. 2-0
L
31.10 vs Rosario Central 1-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.