Union Santa Fe
L
L
L
D
W
D
-
(xG) 1.39 - 1.33
Velez Sarsfield
W
D
L
W
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.21% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Estadio 15 de Abril
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Union Santa Fe scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Velez Sarsfield 0.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Union Santa Fe scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 1.67, whereas Velez Sarsfield scored 1.67 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.39 for Union Santa Fe and 1.33 for Velez Sarsfield. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.21%.

H2H - Union Santa Fe vs. Velez Sarsfield

06-11-2026
Union Santa Fe
-
(HT -)
Velez Sarsfield
27-04-2026
Velez Sarsfield
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Union Santa Fe
07-12-2024
Union Santa Fe
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Velez Sarsfield
24-07-2023
Velez Sarsfield
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Union Santa Fe

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Union Santa Fe

19.09 vs Independiente 1-2
L
03.10 @ Boca Juniors 3-0
L
10.10 vs Defensa Y Justicia 0-2
L
20.10 @ Deportivo Riestra 1-1
D
26.10 vs Estudiantes L.P. 3-1
W
01.11 @ Newells Old Boys 1-1
D

Away Crest Velez Sarsfield

21.09 vs Tigre 3-2
W
06.10 vs Platense 2-2
D
12.10 @ Lanus 2-0
L
18.10 vs Gimnasia M. 1-0
W
26.10 @ Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-5
W
31.10 vs San Lorenzo 2-2
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.