Santos vs Fortaleza EC
H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
In their previous 6 head-to-head matches, Santos scored an average of 0.83 goals per match, compared to Fortaleza EC 1.83 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Santos scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.17, whereas Fortaleza EC scored 1.83 and conceded 1.83.
What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Santos vs Fortaleza EC match?
Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.00 for Santos and 1.89 for Fortaleza EC. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.09%.
Poisson Distribution Algorithm
We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.
