Brazil Serie A
Arena MRV
Atletico-MG
D W W L L L
VS
xG 1.12 - 1.59
Palmeiras
W W L W D W

Mathematical Predictions: Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 50.83% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Atletico-MG team crest Atletico-MG Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Atletico-MG
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
05 Nov 26 @ Botafogo X U2.5 1-0
29 Oct 26 vs Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 0-1
27 Oct 26 @ Flamengo X U2.5 3-2
17 Oct 26 vs Coritiba 1 O2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 vs Santos X U2.5 2-1

Palmeiras team crest Palmeiras Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Palmeiras
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
05 Nov 26 vs Remo X U2.5 6-1
28 Oct 26 @ Santos X U2.5 0-0
24 Oct 26 vs RB Bragantino 1 U2.5 2-0
18 Oct 26 @ Atletico Paranaense X U2.5 0-2
15 Oct 26 @ Fluminense X U2.5 1-2

Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Arena MRV
In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, Atletico-MG scored an average of 0.86 goals per match, compared to Palmeiras 1.43 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Atletico-MG scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 0.67, whereas Palmeiras scored 0.83 and conceded 0.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.12 for Atletico-MG and 1.59 for Palmeiras. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.83%.

H2H - Atletico-MG vs. Palmeiras

27 Jul 26
Palmeiras
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Atletico-MG
28 Jan 26
Atletico-MG
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Palmeiras
04 Dec 25
Atletico-MG
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Palmeiras
19 Nov 25
Atletico-MG
-
(HT -)
Palmeiras
20 Jul 25
Palmeiras
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Atletico-MG
28 Sep 24
Palmeiras
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Atletico-MG
18 Jun 24
Atletico-MG
0 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Palmeiras
19 Oct 23
Palmeiras
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Atletico-MG

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Atletico-MG

09 Oct @ Atletico Paranaense 2-2
D
11 Oct vs Santos 2-1
W
17 Oct vs Coritiba 1-0
W
27 Oct @ Flamengo 3-2
L
29 Oct vs Cruzeiro 0-1
L
05 Nov @ Botafogo 1-0
L

Away Crest Palmeiras

15 Oct @ Fluminense 1-2
W
18 Oct @ Atletico Paranaense 0-2
W
22 Oct vs Fluminense 0-1
L
24 Oct vs RB Bragantino 2-0
W
28 Oct @ Santos 0-0
D
05 Nov vs remo 6-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.