Gremio
D
D
L
W
W
L
-
(xG) 1.28 - 1.24
Vasco DA Gama
W
D
L
W
L
W

Mathematical Predictions: Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 53.81% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Gremio team crest Gremio Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Gremio
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
04 Nov 26 @ Flamengo 1 U2.5 3-1
30 Oct 26 vs Atletico Paranaense 1 O2.5 2-0
26 Oct 26 @ Coritiba 2 O2.5 0-1
18 Oct 26 vs Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 2-4
11 Oct 26 vs Internacional 1 U2.5 1-1

Vasco DA Gama team crest Vasco DA Gama Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Vasco DA Gama
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
04 Nov 26 @ Atletico Paranaense X U2.5 1-3
30 Oct 26 vs Flamengo 2 O2.5 1-4
24 Oct 26 vs Corinthians X O2.5 3-2
18 Oct 26 @ Sao Paulo 1 U2.5 1-0
10 Oct 26 vs Remo 1 O2.5 0-0

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Gremio scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Vasco DA Gama 0.90 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Gremio scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Vasco DA Gama scored 1.33 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.28 for Gremio and 1.24 for Vasco DA Gama. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.81%.

H2H - Gremio vs. Vasco DA Gama

12 Sep 26
Gremio
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Vasco DA Gama
22 Mar 26
Vasco DA Gama
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Gremio
20 Nov 25
Gremio
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Vasco DA Gama
19 Nov 25
Gremio
-
(HT -)
Vasco DA Gama
19 Jul 25
Vasco DA Gama
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Gremio
29 Jul 24
Gremio
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Vasco DA Gama
14 Apr 24
Vasco DA Gama
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Gremio
03 Dec 23
Gremio
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Vasco DA Gama

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Gremio

08 Oct @ remo 1-1
D
11 Oct vs Internacional 1-1
D
18 Oct vs Cruzeiro 2-4
L
26 Oct @ Coritiba 0-1
W
30 Oct vs Atletico Paranaense 2-0
W
04 Nov @ Flamengo 3-1
L

Away Crest Vasco DA Gama

08 Oct @ Botafogo 1-2
W
10 Oct vs remo 0-0
D
18 Oct @ Sao Paulo 1-0
L
24 Oct vs Corinthians 3-2
W
30 Oct vs Flamengo 1-4
L
04 Nov @ Atletico Paranaense 1-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.