Brazil Serie A
Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia
L W L D W L
VS
xG 1.28 - 1.72
Fortaleza EC
W D W D D L

Mathematical Predictions: Bahia vs Fortaleza EC

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 57.68% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Bahia team crest Bahia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Bahia
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 3-2
29 Oct 26 vs Sao Paulo X U2.5 3-2
25 Oct 26 @ Santos 1 O2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 vs Flamengo X U2.5 0-3
12 Oct 26 vs Mirassol 1 O2.5 1-0

Fortaleza EC team crest Fortaleza EC Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortaleza EC
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Novorizontino X U2.5 2-1
02 Nov 26 vs Atletico Goianiense X U2.5 0-0
24 Oct 26 @ Ponte Preta 2 U2.5 2-2
17 Oct 26 @ Sport Recife X U2.5 0-2
12 Oct 26 vs CRB X U2.5 2-2

Bahia vs Fortaleza EC

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova
In their previous 6 head-to-head matches, Bahia scored an average of 1.17 goals per match, compared to Fortaleza EC 1.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bahia scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Fortaleza EC scored 1.83 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bahia vs Fortaleza EC match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.28 for Bahia and 1.72 for Fortaleza EC. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 57.68%.

H2H - Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC

20 Nov 25
Bahia
2 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Fortaleza EC
19 Nov 25
Bahia
-
(HT -)
Fortaleza EC
19 Jul 25
Fortaleza EC
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Bahia
22 Sep 24
Fortaleza EC
4 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Bahia
14 Jun 24
Bahia
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Fortaleza EC
21 Oct 23
Bahia
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Fortaleza EC
03 Jun 23
Fortaleza EC
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Bahia

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bahia

09 Oct @ Palmeiras 1-0
L
12 Oct vs Mirassol 1-0
W
18 Oct vs Flamengo 0-3
L
25 Oct @ Santos 1-1
D
29 Oct vs Sao Paulo 3-2
W
06 Nov @ Cruzeiro 3-2
L

Away Crest Fortaleza EC

08 Oct @ America Mineiro 0-1
W
12 Oct vs CRB 2-2
D
17 Oct @ Sport Recife 0-2
W
24 Oct @ Ponte Preta 2-2
D
02 Nov vs Atletico Goianiense 0-0
D
07 Nov @ Novorizontino 2-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.