Botafogo
L
D
W
L
L
W
-
(xG) 1.38 - 1.35
Gremio
D
D
L
W
W
L

Mathematical Predictions: Botafogo vs Gremio

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.26% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Botafogo team crest Botafogo Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Botafogo
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
05 Nov 26 vs Atletico-MG X U2.5 1-0
29 Oct 26 @ Remo 1 U2.5 2-1
24 Oct 26 @ Internacional X U2.5 3-0
17 Oct 26 vs Chapecoense-sc 1 O2.5 1-0
12 Oct 26 @ Coritiba X O2.5 1-1

Gremio team crest Gremio Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Gremio
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
04 Nov 26 @ Flamengo 1 U2.5 3-1
30 Oct 26 vs Atletico Paranaense 1 O2.5 2-0
26 Oct 26 @ Coritiba 2 O2.5 0-1
18 Oct 26 vs Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 2-4
11 Oct 26 vs Internacional 1 U2.5 1-1

Botafogo vs Gremio

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Botafogo scored an average of 2.13 goals per match, compared to Gremio 1.88 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Botafogo scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 0.83, whereas Gremio scored 0.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Botafogo vs Gremio match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.38 for Botafogo and 1.35 for Gremio. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.26%.

H2H - Botafogo vs. Gremio

17 Sep 26
Botafogo
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Gremio
05 Feb 26
Gremio
5 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Botafogo
22 Nov 25
Botafogo
3 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Gremio
22 Nov 25
Botafogo
-
(HT -)
Gremio
25 Sep 25
Gremio
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Botafogo
29 Sep 24
Botafogo
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Gremio
16 Jun 24
Gremio
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Botafogo
09 Nov 23
Botafogo
3 - 4
(HT 2-1)
Gremio

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Botafogo

08 Oct vs Vasco DA Gama 1-2
L
12 Oct @ Coritiba 1-1
D
17 Oct vs Chapecoense-sc 1-0
W
24 Oct @ Internacional 3-0
L
29 Oct @ remo 2-1
L
05 Nov vs Atletico-MG 1-0
W

Away Crest Gremio

08 Oct @ remo 1-1
D
11 Oct vs Internacional 1-1
D
18 Oct vs Cruzeiro 2-4
L
26 Oct @ Coritiba 0-1
W
30 Oct vs Atletico Paranaense 2-0
W
04 Nov @ Flamengo 3-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.